Friday, 28 April 2017

Black Diamond 280417

Commercial coal mining to lower power tariff: Coal Secretary Susheel Kumar

The opening up of commercial coal mining to private companies will bring in competition in the coal sector and reduce power tariff, a top official said today.

 

"Let's begin by saying commercial coal mining is a very big reform in the coal sector and the idea is to bring in competition for the monopoly coal miner, which is a public sector company called Coal India (CIL)," Coal Secretary Susheel Kumar told PTI.

 

India is in the process of throwing open commercial coal mining to private firms for the first time in four decades, with the aim of shifting the world's third-biggest coal importer towards energy self-sufficiency.

 

"So, this is the intervention which the government wants to bring in. And what we wish to achieve ultimately in the coal sector is to reduce the prices of coal so that our ultimate end-use consumer who is a power consumer gets power at cheaper rates," the secretary explained.

 

The government, he said, wants to convey to potential investors that sustainable and efficient mining, not revenue maximisation, is the idea behind commercial coal auction.

 

"The objective of the government is not maximising the revenue. The idea is not to earn money... So, whatever model we work out, we will work out in such a way that objective (of sustainable and efficient mining) is met and prices of coal come down," Kumar added.

 

As per the Coal Mines Special Provision Act of 2015, the government can open up commercial coal mining for private players.

 

With a chunk of population going without electricity, Kumar suggested that the government should ensure these people get power.

 

"So, the entire (coal) sector is operating in such a way that we reduce prices, and what is the mechanism? The mechanism is competition, more efficiency, more mechanisation. What we hope to achieve through commercial mining is these mines will attract efficient power sector players who will invest in a big way and bring in that efficiency, ultimately reducing the prices," the secretary added.

 

The government plans to auction four blocks under commercial mining in the first phase.

 

A group of secretaries has also suggested that the government should create competition for CIL by opening up commercial coal mining.

http://energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/coal/commercial-coal-mining-to-lower-power-tariff-coal-secretary-susheel-kumar/58409598

 

Iron ore output hits new high, Odisha revenue crashes to new low

Even as revenue earning from the mining sector has crashed to below Rs 5000 crore mark, iron ore production in Odisha has reached a record high of 102.66 million tonne (MT) in 2016-17 with the State registering a growth of about 27 per cent.

 

Improving its own production rate of 80.8 MT in 2015-16, the State has crossed the 100 MT benchmark set for the last fiscal.

 

The State has also set another record by dispatching 120.11 MT of iron ore as against its target of 110 MT. Ore despatch in the last fiscal was 81.66 MT.

 

“Miners (both merchant and captive) of Odisha were able to better their performance because of pro-active action of the State Government by timely extending validity of mining leases after enactment of the amended Mines and Minerals Development and Regulation (MMDR) Act,” Minister of State for Steel and Mines Prafula Mallick told this paper.

 

Besides, increased mechanisation for excavation is another factor for the improved production level, he said.

 

The State Government has already extended the validity of 74 mines before January 11, 2017, the last date for execution of lease in favour of mines waiting for lease extension as per the amended MMDR Act.

“More mines are expected to restart operations this year. We are hopeful that iron ore production can touch 120 MT, the target set for 2017-18, if all the mines meet the production level as per their mining plans,” the Minister said.

 

The State has retained the top slot in iron ore production in the country despite a sluggish market and low price for the ore in international market.

 

The Minister said the State performed better in overall production and despatch of mineral in last financial year. It recorded a total production of minerals of 264.84 MT in 2016-17 compared to 239.45 million tonnes in 2015-16.

 

Odisha is a leading producer of iron, steel, ferro-alloy and aluminium and has a strong base for coal-based power generation.

 

The mining sector which drives the State’s economy that witnessed high growth between 2004-05 and 2015-16, was able to generate a revenue of Rs 4,500 crore against a target of Rs 6,500 crore. It is a substantial fall as compared to 2015-16 when the revenue collection from the sector was Rs 5,400 crore. A sharp drop in demand of iron ore and low prices in international markets are the reasons for decline in the income.

http://www.newindianexpress.com/states/odisha/2017/apr/28/iron-ore-output-hits-new-high-odisha-revenue-crashes-to-new-low-1598674.html

NMDC steel unit divestment: Govt firm despite Chhattisgarh CM warning

HomeEconomy NMDC steel unit divestment: Govt firm despite Chhattisgarh CM warning

NMDC steel unit divestment: Govt firm despite Chhattisgarh CM warning

The ministry’s latest move comes after Chhattisgarh chief minister Raman Singh reiterated his stance in a recent letter to the Centre that the disinvestment plan for the 3-million tonne plant should be abandoned.

Chhattisgarh chief minister Raman Singh has written to the Centre, saying that the disinvestment plan for the 3-million tonne plant could trigger unrest in the region

The Centre is firm on the strategic disinvestment plan for the under-construction, `15,525-crore steel plant of PSU miner NMDC at Nagarnar, Chhattisgarh, despite the recent deadly attack on CRPF personnel by left-wing extremists in the state. Sources told FE that the steel ministry will soon write to the state government, explaining why a private strategic partner was essential for the venture, while also assuring the state that the alliance won’t result in job losses or reckless exploitation of natural resources.

The ministry’s latest move comes after Chhattisgarh chief minister Raman Singh reiterated his stance in a recent letter to the Centre that the disinvestment plan for the 3-million tonne plant should be abandoned. Singh has warned that the move would result “in serious image deficit for the government” and could trigger unrest in the region.

http://www.financialexpress.com/economy/nmdc-steel-unit-divestment-govt-firm-despite-chhatisgarh-cm-warning/645395/

Waterway project flows on

: The first phase of National Waterway No. 5 project from Kalinga Nagar to Paradip and Dhamra has moved forward with the completion of dredging covering an 11-km stretch in the non-tidal zone of the Kani river.

 

Dredging has been taken up between Erada and Padanipal in Jajpur and Kendrapara districts, respectively, covering a collective stretch of 36km.

 

In the first phase, the waterway will be operational between Jokadia near Kalinga Nagar industrial hub and Dhamra and Paradip ports. The length between these destinations is nearly 201km.

 

Once it becomes operational, the waterway will help industries in Kalinga Nagar and Vyasa Nagar industrial hub and mines in Talcher and Daitary to transport goods using two major ports of the state.

 

While several steel plants have come up in the Kalinga Nagar region, there are several coalmines in Talcher and iron ore and chromite mines in Daitary.

 

The Inland Waterways Authority of India had signed an MoU with the state government, Paradip Port Trust and Dhamra Port Company Limited on June 30, 2014, to undertake the first phase of the waterway project.

 

In the second phase, the stretch between Talcher and Jokadia (131km) will be developed. The Rs 2,000-crore project will cover a distance of 332km in two phases.

 

The first phase, considered the most viable, will be part of the National Waterway No. 5 that will connect Talcher coalfields to Haldia port in Bengal.

 

An official said dredging was on in the three stretches of Erada-Angaispur (11km), Angaispur to Badamanatira (14km) and Badamanatira to Padinipal (11km). Dredging has been completed in 2.7km in the first stretch, half kilometre in the second and 7.7km in the third stretch.

 

Official sources said dredging was slow in the second stretch because of local resistance. Local residents had resisted dredging as once the depth of the river increased it would become impossible to cross the river on foot with their livestock. "The problem has been sorted out and work has picked up. The dredging in the first and third stretches is going on in full swing," said an official.

 

The dredging is being carried out to ensure 2-metre water depth in the non-tidal zone of the waterway. The job is expected to be over in July, the official said.

 

As the dredging goes on, the Inland Waterways Authority has appointed a consultant to prepare engineering design and bid documents for construction of structures such as weir by March next year, he said.

 

The authorities plans to make the waterway operational by 2020 and trial run will begin by the end of this year.

 

The authorities will build a temporary terminal at Erada for trial run of the project's first phase. A patch of land measuring 6.7 acres has been taken on lease basis for the purpose at Erada.

 

A joint venture company - Inland Water Consortium of Odisha Limited - has been formed with the Odisha government, Paradip Port Trust and Dhamra Port Company Limited as partners for construction and operation of a permanent terminal near Kalinga Nagar. The Inland Waterways Authority has been requested to provide technical support for preparation of request for proposal documents for the construction of the terminal.

 

Dhamra, however, has already moved forward with its terminal plan. The Dhamra Port Company has constructed a terminal near its port on its own cost, while as of now the Paradip Port Trust will utilise its existing jetty for the purpose. Later, it will construct a permanent terminal.

 

In January last year, the Inland Waterways Authority of India started trial run of cargo vessel ( MV Lal Bahadur Sastri) from Dhamra in Bhadrak district to Rajnagar in Kendrapara district to gauge the depth of river water and ascertain the possible hindrances on the route in the tidal zone. A 300-tonne barge was supposed to go up to Padanipal, but high-tension overhead power supply line hindered further progress of the vessel from Rajnagar area.

https://www.telegraphindia.com/1170428/jsp/frontpage/story_148689.jsp#.WQL6jkWGN0w

GST loss to be reduced by slice of service tax

Even as the Jharkhand assembly on Thursday ratified the state Goods and Services Tax Bill, 2017, experts said the state will suffer significant losses under the new tax regime expected to be rolled out on July 1.

Under the GST regime, taxes will be levied at the place a particular commodity is consumed instead of the place where it is produced. Jharkhand being a production-centric state in terms of iron and steel, aluminium, copper, heavy motor vehicles and cement, will not be benefited whereas the destination states where the finished products reach would gain in terms of tax.

The state hopes to compensate for this loss from a share of the service tax worth around Rs 2,700 crore that it is likely to be received from the Centre. Additional chief secretary, planning and finance-cum-development commissioner Amit Khare said the Centre has also agreed to compensate the states suffering losses for the first five years.

"The exact volume of losses or the rate at which the Centre will be required to compensate is not known because the list of items to be placed against the five tax slabs of 5%, 12%, 18% and 28% is yet to be finalised," he said. Khare also added that since the state governments would now get a share of the service tax, which was earlier solely collected by the Centre, job contracts and other service sectors would add to the kitty of the state exchequer.

While royalty on coal, iron ore and other minerals obtained by the state will remain unaffected, the state would be at its liberty to levy taxes on petrol, diesel, crude oil, natural gas, aviation fuel and liquor as these items have been kept out of the purview of GST. The state will also be able to levy taxes on goods and services brought into Jharkhand through e-commerce.

Addressing the media, urban development minister C P Singh said that for effective implementation of GST, the state has constituted a GST advisory committee comprising members of Federation Chamber of Commerce, chartered accountants and the bar association. "PWC has been appointed as consultants for the GST implementation and training of stakeholders which includes chartered accountants and government officials," he said.

The minister ruled out apprehensions of traders in registering for the GST saying that of around 1.25 lakh people registered under the prevailing system of sales tax, more than 55,000 have registered for the new tax system. "It is because the GST registration has been made mandatory for those having an annual turn over of over Rs 20 lakh whereas it was fixed at Rs10 lakh under the previous system," Singh said.

http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/ranchi/gst-loss-to-be-reduced-by-slice-of-service-tax/articleshow/58406477.cms

Iron ore has further to fall to knock out unconventional supplies: Russell

Now that the euphoria of iron ore's all too brief rally has evaporated, the question the market is grappling with is what is a fair price level for the steel-making ingredient.

 

Spot iron ore prices in China <.IO62-CNO=MB> ended Thursday at $66.42 a tonne, down 30 percent from the 17-month peak of $94.86 reached on Feb. 21.

 

The problem for industry participants is how to wrestle with the factors that have driven, or are likely to drive, prices for the rest of the year.

 

The traditional method of looking at the supply-demand balance and assessing the cost of marginal supply does provide a starting point.

 

But if there is one thing that the market has learnt in the past year, it's that the main driver of the market is policy decisions in China, and how participants react to them.

 

The nearly 150 percent rally between the low of $38.52 a tonne on Dec. 10, 2015, and the peak in February caught most observers by surprise as it was largely driven by Beijing's decision to add stimulus to infrastructure spending and construction, the major demand centres for steel in the world's largest producer and consumer of the metal.

 

This year the expectation is that Beijing will wind some of the stimulus back, thereby trimming demand growth for steel and iron ore.

 

If this is the case for the remainder of 2017, this is a bearish signal for steel and iron ore prices.

 

A poll of the hundreds of industry participants at the Singapore Exchange's (SGX) Iron Ore Forum in Singapore on Thursday showed an increasing pessimism about the price for iron ore.

 

While about a third of respondents thought the spot price would average between $60 and $70 a tonne over 2017, about half thought the price would be below $60 over the course of the year.

 

This brings the market back to the question as to what is the price of the marginal tonne of iron ore supplied to China, and how far below that does the price have to fall to knock enough supply out to balance the market.

 

The majority of estimates seem to be grouped around the $60 a tonne level, this being the point at which 90 percent of seaborne iron ore suppliers are still profitable.

 

Certainly the higher prices of recent months led to a flurry of tonnes being shipped to China from what can broadly be described as alternative suppliers, which are countries outside the three major exporters Australia, Brazil and South Africa.

 

KNOCKING OUT SMALL SUPPLIERS

 

Chinese customs data shows that a total of 270.9 million tonnes was imported in the first quarter, a gain of 12.2 percent over the same period last year.

 

While the major suppliers did increase their contributions, their growth rates were below the overall increase, with Australian supplies up 10.8 percent, those from Brazil by 3.8 percent and from South Africa by 3.3 percent.

 

India leapt into fourth spot with a massive 332.4 percent increase, supplying 9.9 million tonnes in the first quarter, or almost two-thirds of the total it supplied to China for the whole of 2016.

 

China's imports from Iran rose 113.4 percent in the first quarter, while those from Peru gained by 20 percent.

 

To be sure, China's imports are still dominated by the three major exporters, but the point is that the higher iron ore price brought alternative suppliers back to the market, and fairly rapidly.

 

Suppliers outside the big three provided China with 13.9 percent of its iron ore imports in the first quarter, up from 12.2 percent for the whole of 2016.

 

The question for the market is how quickly these extra tonnes will exit the seaborne market in response to the recent sharp decline in prices.

 

An iron ore miner based near India's east coast, speaking on the sidelines of the SGX iron ore event, said his company had managed to ship some cargoes to China this year, but when the price dropped below $70 a tonne it knocked them out of the market.

 

Industry consultants CRU presented data at a forum on Wednesday that estimated that about 50 million tonnes of the around 100 million tonnes supplied annually to China by producers outside the big three was fairly elastic, meaning it will respond to lower prices and exit the market.

 

But it's also possible the market will have to lose more higher-cost tonnes, given the expected arrival of more than 100 million tonnes of new low-cost production from Australia and Brazil by the end of 2018, as the last of the major projects ramp up output.

 

The top Australian miners, Rio Tinto, BHP Billiton and Fortescue Metals Group have reduced the cash cost of producing a tonne of iron ore to below $15 a tonne, meaning that once all the other costs, such as freight and taxes, are added in they can still be profitable at a spot price of less than $40.

 

It's a similar story for Brazil's Vale, even though its freight charges are higher given the longer shipping distance to China.

 

Overall, it would appear that iron ore will have to spend some time below $60 a tonne in order to knock out alternative seaborne supplies, as well as ensure that high-cost Chinese domestic miners don't resume operations.

But of course, this assumes that the authorities in Beijing don't spring any surprises on the market.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/wires/reuters/article-4454452/Iron-ore-fall-knock-unconventional-supplies-Russell.html

 

 

 

 

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Wednesday, 26 April 2017

Black Diamond 270417

Miners warn of 80-mt iron ore deficit on lease extension delay

The iron ore mining sector faces a challenge a little down the line, as licences of 250 mines are to lapse in three years from now. Only 50 of these are in operation, producing 80 million tonnes (mt) annually, a little over 80 per cent of these in Odisha. This 80 mt supply could be in danger, as no formalities have begun to extend the lease or validity. With steel companies in expansion mode, supply concerns could emerge. The deficit in domestic ore supply after March 2020 is seen at around 80 mt and this could put the brake on expansion in steel making; the government targets an ambitious 300 mt annual output by 2030.

In Odisha, the largest ore producing state, 17 mines are set to run out of operations. Their combined annual capacity is 66 mt. The state's iron ore is predominantly used in value addition within the country, as opposed to the export-oriented ore in Goa and Karnataka.

No road map is ready yet to auction the mine leases going to lapse. “We had earlier requested the Government of India to extend the validity of such mines. There will be chaos if these thrown out of operation. Steel plants without captive ore sources will suffer the most; they will have to fall back on import,” said R K Sharma, secretary-general, Federation of Indian Mineral Industries. By 2020, the domestic iron ore requirement is pegged at 234 mt, projected to escalate to 447 mt by 2030, when the aim is to reach steel production of 300 mt.

A spokesperson at Essar Steel was far more optimistic, “The government is fully seized of the matter and has already initiated the process to auction iron ore mines and also get these operational. Also, many of the steel companies have captive mines to meet their requirements either fully or partially. Further, in addition to state-owned companies, private miners also meet the requirement of steel companies. In any case the import option is always available if the prices are favourable.”

Under the amended Mines and Minerals (Development & Regulation) Act, the validity of existing non-merchant mines have been extended till end-March 2020 and of captive leases till 2030. Blocks going for auction need to, under the rules, be explored at least up to the G2 level; most of the leases expiring in 2020 have not been. Rule 22 of the Mineral Auction Rules, 2015, stipulate completion of detailed exploration at the G1 level and to prepare a detailed feasibility report over the entire area under the mining lease.

Crisis point

Licences of 250 mines (50 operational) are set to lapse in three years from now

Expiry of mining licences to create iron ore deficit of 80 million tonnes in the country

Iron ore requirement in 2020 pegged at 234 mt, as steel output to cross 150 mt

http://www.business-standard.com/article/markets/iron-ore-crisis-to-slow-steel-capacity-expansion-after-2020-117042500921_1.html

Political vendetta, says former minister of charges in coal scam case

Former Union Coal Minister Dilip Ray claimed on Wednesday he was a victim of 'political vendetta' by the then UPA government, after a special CBI court framed charges against him for his alleged involvement in coal block allocation case.

 

Ray, however, said he has complete faith in the judicial system claiming his innocence in the coal scam.

 

 

"The scam ridden United Progressive Alliance (UPA) government out of sheer political vendetta pressurised the CBI to dig out something to malign me and its predecessor NDA government headed by Atal Bihari Vajpayee and an FIR was registered in September 2012," said Ray, who is a Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) MLA in Odisha.

 

The case pertains to the alleged irregularities in Brahmadiha coal block in Jharkhand to Castron Technologies Limited in 1999 while Ray was a Minister of state (Independent charge) for coal in the erstwhile National Democratic Alliance (NDA) government.

 

"While I was the minister, BJP MP P.K. Agarwal had brought the coal block allocation proposal. I had sent it to the ministry for re-examining it. The Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) has erroneously alleged that in view of my endorsement of his representation for re-examination, Castron owned by Agrawal was allotted a coal block," said Ray in a statement.

 

He said Screening Committee recommends allotment of coal blocks where he wasn't a member of it then.

 

Ray also said that grant of this coal block in question was in fact recommended by the Jharkhand state government in favour of Castron, as it was an abandoned coal block of yester years from which coal was regularly being looted by the coal mafia.

 

The state government wanted legal utilisation of this block, he added.

 

"I was advised by my legal team not to seek a discharge (which would have only delayed the proceedings) and to volunteer myself for a speedy trial since I have complete faith in the judicial system and I have done nothing wrong in nearly four decades of my public life," said the BJP leader.

 

--IANS

http://www.business-standard.com/article/news-ians/political-vendetta-says-former-minister-of-charges-in-coal-scam-case-117042600503_1.html

Tata Sponge Iron March qtr profit rises

* March quarter net profit 212 million rupees versus profit 130.7 million rupees year ago

* March quarter total income 1.95 billion rupees versus 1.65 billion rupees year ago

* Says recommended dividend of INR 11/share Source text - (bit.ly/2ovoF4Q) Further company coverage:

Commercial coal mining - A perspective on India's proposal

The permission to sell coal in the open market, which ideally should imply freedom to price products based on market demand and supply, has turned out to be a debating point for policy-makers.

The Ministry of Coal has recently published a white paper for public discourse and suggestions on policy initiative that purports to bring in private participation in commercial coal mining. “Commercial” coal mining is a bit of a misnomer here as all coal mining activities by definition are commercial, but in India this has come to define the right of a coal miner to sell the products in open market. Here again, the permission to sell coal in the open market, which ideally should imply freedom to price products based on market demand and supply, has turned out to be a debating point for policy-makers. So, the essential features of a free market that define a commercial activity have been contextualized in Indian coal sector through deep impact of nationalization of the industry in the early 1970s.

The so-called commercial coal mining itself is not a new concept either. Prior to de-allocation of the coal blocks by the Supreme Court of India, and indeed even after the new legislative framework has been approved by the Indian parliament, several coal blocks were and have been allotted to state-owned entities for commercial mining. A closer look at these entities and their strategies for coal mine development indicates that contract miners are the ones who operate the coal mines and then these state-entities bargain with the potential buyers of coal for a piece of rent from the price of coal they sell. So, while private sector ownerships of these coal mines have been restricted, the private sector participation has not been, from mine development, construction and all the way to transportation and taking the products to the market.

 

What is new in the Ministry’s proposition is allowing private sector ownership. The draft policy paper proposes no restriction on pricing, even though for purposes of revenue share, which is also the bidding criteria for allocation of coal blocks in the first place, a floor of 20% premium over Coal India Limited’s prices for comparative coal quality has been proposed. There are other provisions for flexibility, such as permission to modulate coal production within a limit of 70% of the approved peak rated capacity. While the merits of these propositions are being discussed, it is important to question the fundamental idea of commercial coal mining at this time.

There is a revolution that is sweeping the energy sector globally and in India. The balance now seems conclusively tilting towards renewable energy. And, this development is not entirely due to government subsidies but because these sources of energy are financially viable on their own. Of course, there are some concerns about quality of supply and back-up but there again a lot of investment is being made, for example, for developing grid-size storage technologies for solar power. The next 3-5 years are likely to witness epochal shift in the way energy is generated and distributed. Coupled with these developments, coal mining in India has witnessed lower than expected demand. CIL was struggling to meet the demand just a few years ago but now they are increasingly finding tougher to dispatch the coal produced, resulting in building up stockpiles. But in spite of this, there has not been any indication yet on relenting on their pursuit for a 1 billion tonne production by the terminal year of the current five-year plan. This begs the question then of demand from commercial coal miners. Who would buy coal from a commercial miner with a 20% premium over market price when they can get coal from CIL itself? And, thus also arises the associated question of being able to get a premium when there is over supply in the market?

 

Then there is cost side of the story. While the list of coal blocks for commercial coal mining is not yet published, it may only be speculative to estimate costs. But it may well still be stated that the costs of coal mining may be relatively lower than Coal India Limited considering private sector efficiencies. But the margins may have to be distributed between the miners and the government accounting for the revenue-share or an auction premium, depending upon how these coal blocks are auctioned off. Would the available margins be able to justify investment in coal mining ventures that have tuned out have risks of obtaining social license to operate, including land acquisition, rehabilitation and resettlement, risks of mine permissions such as environmental clearances, and infrastructure development constraints?

 

Answers to several of these questions are likely to be in the location and geo-technical features of the coal blocks. Demand and price risks, and the risks in coal supply logistics can be assessed from the location of the mine and its likely markets. The margins and returns on investment can gauged by the geo-technical features which impact the ease and hence, costs of mining. To attract investors, it is therefore, important that the government chooses coal blocks that promise scalability, higher degree of geological information, lower risks of stakeholder management and shorter gestation period to get the first tonne of coal to market.

 

The key reflection of expected returns would also be the degree of competition for these coal blocks. The competition for the most recent, the fourth, round of coal blocks for non-regulated sector was low and response for the blocks offered was at best lukewarm. While the past need not reflect the current level of interest, expectation of future of coal, more specifically the coal-based power generation, is certainly going to impact the prospects. The real concern lies here. That Central Electricity Authority (CEA) has warned that coal-based thermal power plants are expected to see a drastic fall in capacity utilization to as low as 48% by 2022, which has been consistently declining for the last 3-4 years, as additional non-thermal electricity generation capacities get commissioned, is more likely to deter enthusiastic participation.

 

All said and done, markets are the places for real test of an idea. It is, therefore, wise to wait and watch if commercial coal mining is such an idea whose time has come or has passed by.

 

http://energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/energy-speak/commercial-coal-mining-a-perspective-on-govt-s-proposal/2313

Regards


Anurag

The information contained in this electronic communication is intended solely for the individual(s) or entity to which it is addressed. It may contain proprietary, confidential and/or legally privileged information. Any review, retransmission, dissemination, printing, copying or other use of, or taking any action in reliance on the contents of this information by person(s) or entities other than the intended recipient is strictly prohibited and may be unlawful. If you have received this communication in error, please notify us by responding to this email or telephone and immediately and permanently delete all copies of this message and any attachments from your system(s). The contents of this message do not necessarily represent the views or policies of Aditya Birla Group. Computer viruses can be transmitted via email. Aditya Birla Group Companies attempts to sweep e-mails and attachments for viruses, it does not guarantee that either are virus free. The recipient should check this email and any attachments for the presence of viruses. Aditya Birla Group does not accept any liability for any damage sustained as a result of viruses.

Tuesday, 25 April 2017

Black Diamond 260417

Iron ore crisis to slow steel capacity expansion after 2020

The country is likely to face a major iron ore crisis due to the lapse of key operating mines by March 31, 2020. The deficit in domestic iron ore supplies after March 2020 is seen at around 80 million tonne. This, in turn, is bound to put brakes on building India's steel-making capacity as it targets an ambitious 300 million tonne (mt) output by 2030.

 

Supplies in iron ore would be more pronounced in Odisha, the largest producing state where 17 mines are set to run out of operations. The combined annual capacity of these mines is estimated at 66 mt. The shortfall from Odisha would especially hurt the domestic steel companies as the state's iron ore is predominantly used in within the country as opposed to the export-oriented ore in Goa and Karnataka.

 

"We had earlier requested the government to extend the validity of such mines. There will be chaos if the mines are thrown out of operations. Steel plants without captive iron ore sources will suffer the most, they will have to fall back on imports”, said R K Sharma, Secretary General, Federation of Indian Mineral Industries (Fimi).

 

 

Data by the Indian Bureau of Mines (IBM) suggests that 250 such mines are going to expire by March 2020. Of this, barely 50 are currently in operations. The Union ministry has been issuing reminders to states asking them to work on a roadmap to enable auctioning of such mines. No roadmap is, however, ready yet. 

 

By 2020, the demand for domestic iron ore is pegged at 234 mt which is further projected to escalate to 447 mt by 2030.

 

A spokesperson at Essar Steel said, “The government has already initiated the process of auctioning iron ore mines and to get them operational. Also, many of the steel companies have captive mines to meet their requirements either fully or partially. Further, in addition to the state-owned companies, private miners also meet the requirement of steel companies. In any case, the import option is always available if the prices are favourable.”

 

As per the provisions of the amended Mines and Minerals (Development & Regulation) Act, the validity of existing non-merchant mines has been extended till March, 2020 while those of captive leases have been extended till 2030. Major mining leases that will lapse by 2020 include Rungta Mines, KJS Ahluwalia, Serajuddin & Co, Kaypee Enterprises, Kalinga Mining Corporation, Mid East Integrated Steel Ltd, KN Ram, RB Das, Tarini Prasad Mohanty, KC Pradhan and Lal Traders.

 

Iron ore blocks going for auctions need to be explored at least up to G2 level as per the policy of the Government of India. Most of the mining leases expiring in 2020 have not been explored to that level. There is an exploratory obligation on the holder of the mining lease as per the conditions laid down in the approved mining plan under the Mineral Concession Development Rules (MCDR), 1988. Further, Rule 22 of Mineral Auction Rules 2015 stipulates license holders to complete detailed exploration at G1 level and prepare a detailed feasibility study report, over the entire area under the mining lease, within a period of five years from the date of commencement of such mining lease.

http://www.business-standard.com/article/markets/iron-ore-crisis-to-slow-steel-capacity-expansion-after-2020-117042500921_1.html

SC asks Karnataka govt for alternatives to e-auction of iron ore

The Supreme Court on Tuesday asked the Karnataka government to indicate alternatives to e-auction of iron ore in the state.

 

A bench comprising justices Ranjan Gogoi, P.C. Pant and Navin Sinha was hearing a batch of pleas relating to iron ore mining in Karnataka. The court had earlier asked the central empowered committee (CEC) to ascertain whether e-auction of iron ores is still preferable in the state.

 

Several mining companies and the Federation of Indian Mineral Industries (FIMI), a mining industry body had sought a halt on e-auction for sale of iron and manganese ores in Karnataka as per the apex court’s 2013 directions.

 

In April 2013, the court had ordered that all sales of iron and manganese ores in Karnataka should be only through e-auctions that will be monitored and overseen by the CEC. It also ordered several measures to prevent environmental damage due to mining. The court’s ruling came in a 2003 case filed by non-profit Samaj Parivartana Samudaya against large-scale depletion of forests in Karnataka due to massive illegal mining.

 

The apex court in its April 2013 order had also directed Karnataka to cancel 51 C-category leases for involving in rampant illegal mining and re-allot them to end users through a transparent bidding mechanism. Karnataka in January 2016 announced an e-auction of 11 of the 51 C- category mines.

 

FIMI and the state government have also sought the court’s nod to increase the cap on quantity of iron ore that can be mined in the state by at least 10 million metric tonnes. The court on Tuesday asked CEC to consider the plea.

http://www.livemint.com/Politics/WEVsq2OSaK8Qms2taUpjBM/SC-asks-Karnataka-govt-to-indicate-alternatives-to-eauction.html

 

China will encourage coal miners to merge, restructure - state planner

Beijing will encourage coal companies to merge and restructure to increase efficiency in the industry and take measures to return thermal coal prices to a "reasonable" range, China's economic planning agency said in a statement on Wednesday.

The comment by the state planner, the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), came after a meeting with coal mining firms on Tuesday as thermal coal prices continue to rally while utilities that consume the fuel lose money.

The NDRC issued a similar release on Tuesday following a gathering late last week with utilities.

http://energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/coal/china-will-encourage-coal-miners-to-merge-restructure-state-planner/58372768

Coal India FY18 production target cut on weak demand

In an unprecedented move, the Union government has reduced the production target for Coal India Ltd (CIL) from 660 million tonnes (mt) to 600 mt in the current year due to tepid demand for the fuel from thermal power plants.

CIL, the monopoly state-owned miner, has stock of around 69 mt of coal, according to a key official, who asked not to be named. In addition, power plants across the country have in their stock 26-28 mt of coal, this person added.

In 2016-17, CIL produced 554.1 mt as against a target of 598.6 mt, and despatched 543.1 mt of coal. With production exceeding despatches, CIL’s inventory (or stock) rose by around 11 mt.

CIL’s mines can produce up to 660 mt in the current year, but there is no point in stepping up production unless demand for coal improves, said another official at the miner, who, too, asked not to be identified. Pithead inventory (or stock stored near the mine) is a potential fire hazard, according to this person.

According to estimates by Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd, CIL’s sales in the current year should rise 6.8% to 580 mt, and further to 618 mt in 2018-19, despite an increase in the share of renewable energy in power generation.

A report by Nomura Securities International Inc. says CIL registered its highest ever production growth in fiscal 2016-17 with output in March exceeding even the firm’s own target by 4.5%. But sales for the month were 10.3% below target, according to Nomura.

Weak demand from thermal power plants apart, coal despatches suffered due to poor railway infrastructure, said the CIL officials cited above. Several new tracks are behind schedule, which meant sales couldn’t keep pace with expansion in production, they added.

The key problem is that Indian power plants are currently operating at 55% of their installed capacity, according to Partha S. Bhattacharyya, former chairman of CIL.

It appears that the country is focusing on renewable energy at the cost of sub-optimal capacity utilization of thermal power plants, he said. The marginal cost of scaling up generation from thermal power plants is going to be “much lower” than the cost of generating renewable power, he added.

And from the emissions standpoint, compliance with international protocols will not be difficult even if CIL produced 1 billion tonnes of coal and its entire production was consumed by power plants, he added.

CIL should explore other ways of using coal: the fuel can be processed to produce even fertilizers, Bhattacharyya said.

http://www.livemint.com/Industry/HQ11vy1v8UCMbg4OiuLKbJ/Coal-India-FY18-production-target-cut-on-weak-demand.html

 

 

 

China to retrain 500,000 workers after massive capacity cut in steel, coal

China, the world's top steel and coal producer and consumer, today said it plans to offer free retraining to 500,000 workers made redundant during its massive capacity cuts in the strategic steel and coal sectors this year.

Subsidies will go to employers that re-employ laid-off staff in other posts inside the company, and the government will offer free retraining, the Spokesperson of the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security Lu Aihong said.

In 2016, the central government spent over 30 billion yuan (4.4 billion U.S. dollars) in providing aid to 726,000 employees affected by the downsizing of the two heavy industries.

The work has to continue as another 50 million tonnes of steel production capacity and at least 150 million tonnes of coal capacity will be cut this year, the official Xinhua news agency reported.

According to preliminary forecasts, the coal and steel sectors will see combined laid-offs of around 1.8 million.

China is the world's largest producer and consumer of steel and coal. Cutting overcapacity is a high priority as the two industries have become a major drag on growth.

China retired 45 million tonnes of steel and 250 million tonnes of coal production capacity by the end of October last year, meeting its full-year goals ahead of schedule.

Steel capacity will be cut between 100 million tonnes and 150 million tonnes by 2020, while about a half billion tonnes of coal capacity is scheduled to be slashed in the next three to five years.

In 2017, it is important to phase out excess capacity through reforms, Premier Li Keqiang had said last year, highlighting further steps in mergers and acquisitions in steel enterprises, and the integration of coal mining and power generation.

http://energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/coal/china-to-retrain-500000-workers-after-massive-capacity-cut-in-steel-coal/58365992

Coal Scam: CBI Files Case Against Its Former Director Ranjit Sinha

Did Ranjit Sinha, the former director of the Central Bureau of Investigation or CBI, misuse his powers to influence the investigation in the coal scam case? Three months after the Supreme Court ordered a detailed inquiry into the matter, the agency has filed a case against its former chief. The charges involve criminal misconduct and abuse of official position. Mr Sinha has denied any wrongdoing. The scam, dubbed Coal Gate, involved the allocation of coal fields to private firms and took place when Dr Manmohan Singh was the Prime Minister.

 

In 2014, as Mr Sinha was about to retire as the head of the agency, allegations surfaced that he had met people accused in the case at his home as often as "50-60 times". Senior lawyer Prashant Bhushan, who took the matter to court, said Mr Sinha had compromised his agency's investigation against the people who had been accused of corruption in the allocation of coal blocks. 

 

The court, accepting the logs from a visitors' book at Mr Sinha's home as authentic, had put the new CBI chief, Alok Verma, in charge of the investigation. 

 

 

Both Alok Verma and interim chief RK Asthana had to give affidavits that investigating a former chief by CBI men will not involve a conflict of interest.While Mr Sinha was not available for comment, his lawyer Vikas Singh said he has no information about the matter.

 

The coal scam had hit the headlines in 2012 after an audit by the national auditor revealed that the country has lost up to Rs. 1.86 lakh crore in the process of allotting coal blocks. The allotments of mining rights over a decade were made to private firms at depressed prices, the auditor said. In 2014, the Supreme Court cancelled the allocations.

 

Prime Minister Manmohan Singh has not been charged with any crime, but has been investigated for criminal breach of trust and conspiracy in the allocation of a coal field in 2005 to Hindalco Industries. The firm, part of the $40 billion Aditya Birla Group, has denied that it manipulated the government and its processes.

http://www.ndtv.com/india-news/coal-scam-probe-cbi-files-case-against-former-director-ranjit-sinha-1685890

India’s Coal Bed Methane production jumped more than 44 percent to 565 MMSCM last fiscal
India’s production of Coal Bed Methane (CBM), a clean energy source extracted from coal seams, grew more than 44 percent last financial year to around 565 million standard cubic metres (MMSCM) as compared to 393 MMSCM in 2015-2016. This comes as a major boost for the government’s efforts to cut down India’s import dependence for energy supply.

 

The huge growth in CBM output in 2016-17 was, however, lower than the government’s projections. India’s upstream regulator DGH had last year informed a parliamentary panel India’s CBM production was pegged to quadruple to 1,449 MMSCM at the end of 2016-2017.

 

Oil minister Dharmendra Pradhan had last year said in a tweet coal bed methane is likely to contribute to five percent of natural gas production by 2017. Data published by petroleum planning and analysis cell (PPAC) shows that in 2016-2017 domestic production of CBM contributed to 1.78 percent of India’s total natural gas production of over 31,000 MMSCM.

 

In a bid to incentivize production, the Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA) had last month approved a new policy allowing marketing and pricing freedom for CBM gas. The new policy allows contractors to sell CBM at arm’s length price in the domestic market. “The contractor, while discovering the market price for arm’s length sales, has to ensure a fully transparent and competitive process for sale of CBM with the objective that the best possible price is realized for the gas without any restrictive commercial practices,” said an official statement.

 

CBM producers hailed the new policy. “The Cabinet approval for marketing and pricing freedom will be a game-changer. Under HELP, the companies will be able to tap other hydrocarbons including shale gas,” Prashant Modi, Managing Director & Chief Executive Officer at Great Eastern Energy Corporation (GEECL), India’s first CBM producer, told ETEnergyWorld in an interview.

 

India houses the world’s fourth-largest coal reserves. The government has identified 26,000 square km of area for CBM operation with total estimated CBM Resources of 2,600 billion cubic meter (91.8 TCF). Of this, in-place reserves have been established at 9.9 TCF. The centre has so far awarded 33 blocks though four rounds of bidding between 2001 and 2008. However, CBM is currently produced from only four -- Jharia block in Jharkhand by ONGC, Raniganj East in West Bengal by Essar Oil Ltd, Raniganj South in West Bengal by Great Eastern Energy Corporation and Sohagpur West in Madhya Pradesh by RIL.

 

Also, state-run miner Coal India Ltd (CIL) plans to finally initiate a pilot study to extract coal bed methane. “Coal India is making an action plan under which the PSU will have to announce projects on coal bed methane, gasification and coal-to-liquid,” coal secretary Susheel Kumar recently told a news agency. The CCEA had originally in December 2013 approved a policy on exploration and exploitation of CBM areas under coal mining leases allotted to CIL.

 

CBM blocks were carved out by DGH in consultation with the coal ministry and Central Mine Planning and Design Institute (CMPDI). The 33 blocks awarded so far cover 64 percent of the total available coal bearing areas in 12 states including Andhra Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Gujarat, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Assam, Odisha, Rajasthan, Tamil Nadu, Telangana and West Bengal.

 

Despite the huge reserves, a mismatch exists between estimated resources and gas in-place. In its reply to a Parliamentary panel last year, the oil ministry attributed the mismatch to lack of commercially exploitable reserves. “Methane gas is always present in coal seams. However, the quantity of methane present is required to be present in commercial quantity for CBM venture to be successful. In majority of the blocks where exploration work is carried out, commercial CBM potential could not be established technically due to less quantity of gas present,” the ministry said.

 

The petroleum ministry gave multiple reasons for slow production of coal bed methane including overlapping with coal blocks, delay in land acquisition and statutory clearances, water handling problems and lack of gas infrastructure in CBM blocks.

 

Despite the hurdles, the ministry is confident of healthy growth in output going forward that will result in the share of CBM in total gas production rising to 5 per cent from the current less than 2 per cent. "Right now (August 2016), we have reached 1.456 MMSCMD as compared to 1.07 MMSCMD in 2015-16. In two years, we are expecting to reach about 5.77 million which is going to be a significant part,” the ministry told the panel.

 

The Parliamentary Standing Committee on Petroleum and Natural Gas headed by senior BJP leader Prahlad Joshi had recommended a slew of measures to increase the pace of CBM extraction. This included formulating a new comprehensive CBM policy, reassessment of CBM to be included in DGH’s ongoing reassessment of hydrocarbons, auctioning of new CBM blocks through HELP, formulation of a separate pricing and marketing mechanism for CBM and timely grant of clearances by state governments.

http://energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/oil-and-gas/indias-coal-bed-methane-production-jumped-more-than-44-percent-to-565-mmscm-last-fiscal/58362964

 

Mahagenco Quotes CIMFR Test Results: ‘90 per cent of SECL coal samples found substandard’

Approximately 90 per cent of the 513 coal samples, which were picked up from the supply of South Eastern Coalfields Limited (SECL) between September 9, 2016 and January 31, 2017, have been found to be of substandard quality by Central Institute of Mining and Fuel Research (CIMFR).

Maharashtra State Power Generation Company Limited (MSPGCL), also known as Mahagenco, which is one of the main buyers of coal from SECL, disclosed to The Indian Express these test results while talking about serious quality issues that are still present. SECL is the largest subsidiary of Coal India Limited and it has been facing major questions regarding quality of coal supplied.

“All the rakes loaded and dispatched from SECL are sampled by third-party agency. Currently, CSIR-CIMFR is working as third party agency and during 9.9.2016 and 31.1.2017, it has sampled around 513 samples. On the basis of results issued by CIMFR, around 90 per cent samples have been found to be deviating from the declared grade,” Mahagenco told The Indian Express.

On December 29 last year, SECL told the Parliamentary Standing Committee on Steel and Coal that it has been taking various adequate measures to improve the quality of coal. The SECL also told the committee that Mahagenco has filed total 13 complaints — 10 complaints were about “oversized” coal and three were about “quality” issues — in between April, 2016 and September, 2016.

As per coal quality supply agreement between the SECL and Mahagenco, the former is required to supply coal having size less than 100 mm. Any coal having size more than 100 mm is deemed “oversized” or “lumpy” coal. The SECL did not reply to the queries sent by The Indian Express.

“As soon as Mahagenco receives lumpy coal from any company, it is general practice to bring it to the notice of concerned coal company through letter. Generally, the SECL does not reply to such letters of Mahagenco. However, Mahagenco expects improvement in the quality of coal dispatched. Between October 16 (in 2016) to March 17 (in 2017), Mahagenco has filed around 14 complaints for oversized coal and around 7 complaints related to quality of coal with the SECL. The deviations in the grade of coal is still observed,” Mahagenco told The Indian Express.

Coal India’s largest subsidiary South Eastern Coalfields Limited (SECL) received 55 complaints from power generation companies — including Jindal Power Limited (JPL), NTPC Ltd and GMR Warora Energy Limited (GWEL) — regarding poor quality of coal supply between April 2016 and September 2016. Maximum 13 complaints against SECL came from Mahagenco only. Mahagenco’s issues were related to coal supply from areas such as Kusmunda, Gevra, Raigarh and Bishrampur.

As the number of complaints from power utilities have been quite high, the SECL has been taking various steps for coal quality improvement. On December 29 last year, the SECL told the Parliamentary Standing Committee on Steel and Coal that it has put a “quality regime” in all areas under its supervision. It has suspended the production from the “mine where thin seam workings deteriorated the quality of coal produced”.

A coal seam is a bed of coal usually thick enough to be profitably mined. The SECL told the panel it is stopping the extraction “from the seams where due to geo-mining condition, quality has deteriorated”. Other steps to improve quality include revision of grade of mines and sidings, no dispatch of coal to power sector from siding (railway line) where crushing arrangement is not available till date, and installation of two washeries at Kusmunda and Raigarh area.

Between April 2016 and September 2016, JPL filed 11 complaints with the SECL on coal supply quality from the latter’s Raigarh area. As per SECL data, JPL had filed ten complaints related to “quality” issues, while it submitted one complaint related to “oversized” coal issues. NTPC’s Sipat plant and GWEL submitted five complaints each with SECL in the same time period.

“SECL has entered into tripartite agreement with CIMFR and power utilities for third party sampling of coal being supplied to power utilities,” the SECL told Parliamentary committee. Meanwhile, for better coal quality supply, the SECL told the Parliamentary committee that it has also established laboratories “with NABL (National Accreditation Board for Testing and Calibration Laboratories) accreditation for coal sampling analysis”.

According to the SECL, the area labs of Kusmunda, Gevra, Dipka, Sohagpur, Johilla, Hasdeo, Bhatgaon and Bishrampur have been accredited by the NABL. “Two areas Baikunthpur and J&K area are in the process to get accreditation from NABL, and three areas — Raigarh, Korba and Chirmiri — are to file the application in this regards,” SECL told the Parliamentary Committee.

http://indianexpress.com/article/business/companies/mahagenco-quotes-cimfr-test-results-90-per-cent-of-secl-coal-samples-found-substandard-4628418/

BHP cuts output targets for iron ore, coking coal, copper

BHP Billiton on Wednesday trimmed its full-year production guidance for iron ore, coking coal and copper due to bad weather at mines in Australia and industrial action in Chile over the last quarter.

 

Iron ore output guidance was narrowed to 268 million to 272 million tonnes, while coking coal guidance was reduced to 39 million to 41 million tonnes, the company said.

 

Copper guidance was cut to a range of 1.33 million to 1.36 million tonnes, it said. (Reporting by James Regan, editing by G Crosse)

http://in.reuters.com/article/bhp-billiton-output-idINL4N1HW2LZ

 

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Monday, 24 April 2017

Black Diamond 250417

Govt to auction mines for coal-to-gas, CTL projects in FY18

The government will put under the hammer coal blocks for private coal-to-gas, liquid and polychemical projects this financial year, a top official said today.

 

"My priority is very clear... coal-to-gas, coal-to- liquid, coal-to-polychemical (CTL). That is something which I want should move... I think very soon, in about two months, we should be coming out with some blocks to be offered to the private sector for these projects," Coal Secretary Susheel Kumar told PTI in an interview.

 

The development takes on significance as domestic coal gas can help lower the country's import bill by USD 10 billion in five years and cut carbon emission.

 

"So, Coal India will attempt all this from whatever coal mines they have. Second, fresh coal blocks would be auctioned to the private sector through competitive bidding for exploring coal to gas, liquid and polychemicals. We will auction the coal mine for these projects," the secretary said.

 

The process of identification of blocks is under way, he said, adding that mines will not be out of the 204 cancelled blocks, but will be fresh ones under the MMDR Act.

 

"There is a technical committee which is identifying these blocks. So, I have asked them to identify and come back," he said.

 

Asked to provide a timeline for the competitive bidding, the secretary said, "(It should be) this financial year because we may have to go to the Cabinet. So, let me first get those identified, then we will go to the Cabinet to seek mandate and do it."

 

India's dependence on petroleum and natural gas can be reduced or done away with if the country manages to secure gas from coal.

 

"Why we want to do this is very clear. Because it is something which is unexplored for the country. It requires some new technology. It requires new partners. So, those companies who would like to venture into this area should be assured of at least the coal block so that they can plan their investment," Kumar explained.

 

"We will have to take a mandate from the Cabinet that we want to explore these areas which are non-traditional in the coal sector. Normally, coal is consumed in the sense of burning it... The root is whether it is going to be converted into something very useful... we have to explore that because we don't have enough of gas or oil, but we have coal," he said.

 

Imports of 4-5 chemicals like urea, methanol, ammonia and ascetic acid are worth around USD 5.5 billion at present.

 

If the country is able to gasify coal and use the same for production of chemicals, including urea and methanol, it would lower the import bill manifold by 2030.

TAGS #Coal #Economy

http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/economy/govt-to-auction-mines-for-coal-to-gas-ctl-projects-in-fy18-2264491.html

 

 

Higher coal & iron ore prices to take sheen off steel-makers' Q4 earnings

Despite a sequential improvement in realization of Rs 1,500-2,000/tonne, Elara Capital expects operating income of steel manufacturers to be hit on the back of higher coal costs. The brokerage expects JSW Steel to be affected the most as it has been hit with both higher coal cost (up by Rs 3,400/tonne) and iron ore cost (up by Rs 200-250/tonne) in Q4.

A sharp uptick in raw material costs and poor pricing power in the March quarter is likely to dent the financial performance of listed steel-makers. Steel production grew in double digits for many companies during the quarter and realisations improved, but profitability will suffer due a tripling in prices of coking coal to USD 160/tonne in March 2017 from USD 50/tonne a year earlier. According to Essar Steel, input costs have been rising in the last two quarters without any corresponding increase in selling prices as steel companies are unable to pass on the increase to their customers.

 

Despite a sequential improvement in realization of Rs 1,500-2,000/tonne, Elara Capital expects operating income of steel manufacturers to be hit on the back of higher coal costs. The brokerage expects JSW Steel to be affected the most as it has been hit with both higher coal cost (up by Rs 3,400/tonne) and iron ore cost (up by Rs 200-250/tonne) in Q4.

 

EBITDA/tonne is expected to go down 26 percent quarter-on-quarter to Rs 5,708. Centrum, too, has a negative stance on the ferrous metals space. EBITDA/tonne is expected to remain muted due to increase in coking coal costs, which cancels out the benefits of the price increase. Volumes remained strong for large steel-makers thanks to strong export sales but this would be negated by higher costs. Tata Steel is expected to be least impacted as it imports only 67 percent of its coking coal requirements and has better backward integration than others.

 

Over the last few years, steel-makers have been sourcing raw materials based on index prices. The long-term contracts have been replaced with index-based prices, which are often impacted by speculation and events like cyclones. This increases volatility. Many steel-makers in India have been struggling to source coking coal and iron ore over the last few years as supplies have been disrupted for a variety of reasons. Prices of both raw materials in the March quarter have spiked even though steel demand has grown at a modest 3.5 percent in FY17.

 

Coking coal prices in the fourth quarter of FY17 averaged USD 80/tonne against USD 52/tonne a year earlier. India's steel industry is largely dependent on coking coal imports, supplies of which were disrupted when cyclone Debbie hit Australia towards the end of March 2017 and prices spiked to USD 160-180/tonne.

 

Madan Sabnavis, Chief Economist of CARE Ratings, said in a note: "The steel companies in India do import coking coal from Australia. Thus, the sharp rise in prices will increase the cost pressure for producers, in turn, leading to a rise in steel prices."

 

According to Seshagiri Rao, Joint Managing Director and Group CFO of JSW Steel, "Iron ore prices were at USD 40/tonne in January 2016 and they were at USD 90/tonne a couple of weeks ago. There is no reason iron ore prices should go up so sharply since demand has not gone up." Iron ore prices have corrected since then to below USD 70/tonne.

http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/economy/higher-coal-iron-ore-prices-to-take-sheen-off-steel-makers-q4-earnings-2264231.html

Iron ore to slide below $US50 in 2018, says Westpac's Justin Smirk

Iron ore is destined to retreat back below $US50 a tonne next year as supplies go on rising, according to the top forecaster, who warned that weakening prices will probably encourage the sale of inventories.

The raw material will drop to average $US62 in the third quarter and $US59 in the final three months of this year before falling through 2018 to a low of $US41, said Justin Smirk, senior economist of Westpac Banking Corp. Westpac placed first in predicting prices in the first quarter, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Iron ore was whipsawed last week after hitting a near six-month low as investors weighed signals of strength in the largest user China, including steel output at a record in March, against prospects for rising supply. Top miners including Brazil's Vale are bringing on new capacity, bolstering seaborne sales, at the same time that miners in China have been reviving production. Smirk said that there'd been a huge ramp-up in Chinese supply.

"As supply builds up and prices come off, people will begin to question the wisdom of holding on to inventories," Smirk said in a phone interview on Friday. "The signs are now pushing in one direction: while we'll get some volatility, the momentum is just on a downward trend now."

Spot ore with 62 per ent in Qingdao fell 2.5 per cent to $US66.53 a tonne on Monday following a volatile week, according to Metal Bulletin. The commodity - which hit $US94.86 in February - averaged $US86 in the first three months of 2017 and is averaging $US72.32 so far this quarter. Futures in Dalian and Singapore fell, with the SGX AsiaClear contract as much as 3.9 per cent lower.

Bears see rising downside risks

The outlook from Sydney-based Westpac - which also placed first for forecasting base metals - contrasts with Australia & New Zealand Banking Group's view prices will settle between $US70 and $US80 over the rest of this year. Many other banks are pessimistic, including Barclays, which said in a note on Monday that while iron ore may recover in the short term, it'll slump toward $US50 by the fourth quarter as fundamentals deteriorate.

Goldman Sachs attributed iron's recent drop to mills destocking, traders being forced to sell holdings as prices began to fall, as well as a decline in steel margins, according to an April 20 report. Earlier this month, the bank flagged prospects for iron ore weakness in the second half.

Among reasons cited by bears for a weaker outlook is the potential for more supply, both from mines in China and overseas. Mainland miners boosted production 16 per cent in the first three months of 2017, official data showed. In Brazil, Vale posted record first-quarter output as the world's largest shipper started exports from its $US14 billion S11D complex.

On Monday, Anglo American added to the picture of rising global production, saying output rose 21 per cent to 14.8 million tonnes in the three months to March 31. Operations at its Minas Rio project in Brazil are ramping up toward a target of 26.5 million tonnes a year, the London-based company said in a statement.

Steel slumps

Steel prices in China have been dropping, with the spot price of hot-rolled coil down almost 20 per ent this year, according to Beijing Antaike Information Development Co. "We've also seen steel prices tipped over and margins of steel mills being compressed," said Smirk. "The whole demand-driven supply shortage late last year that boosted Q1 has actually been reversed."

There are tentative signs the stockpiles of iron ore at China's ports may be starting to be sold off, according to Smirk. After peaking at 132.5 million tonnes on March 24, holdings have dropped for four weeks, the longest streak since September, according to Shanghai Steelhome E-Commerce Co.

"If inventories were unwound and dumped onto the market, there's a greater momentum for the downward side," said Smirk, who's tracked commodities for more than a decade. "That would be a very nervy sign for the market."

Read more: http://www.afr.com/business/mining/iron-ore/iron-ore-to-slide-below-us50-in-2018-says-westpacs-justin-smirk-20170424-gvrlqi#ixzz4fEsCSeeG

 

 

The information contained in this electronic communication is intended solely for the individual(s) or entity to which it is addressed. It may contain proprietary, confidential and/or legally privileged information. Any review, retransmission, dissemination, printing, copying or other use of, or taking any action in reliance on the contents of this information by person(s) or entities other than the intended recipient is strictly prohibited and may be unlawful. If you have received this communication in error, please notify us by responding to this email or telephone and immediately and permanently delete all copies of this message and any attachments from your system(s). The contents of this message do not necessarily represent the views or policies of Aditya Birla Group. Computer viruses can be transmitted via email. Aditya Birla Group Companies attempts to sweep e-mails and attachments for viruses, it does not guarantee that either are virus free. The recipient should check this email and any attachments for the presence of viruses. Aditya Birla Group does not accept any liability for any damage sustained as a result of viruses.

Sunday, 23 April 2017

Black Diamond 240417

Britain goes 24 hours without using any coal-generated power

National Grid confirmed that Britain had gone a full 24-hour cycle without using coal to produce any of the country's electricity, media reports said.

 

All electricity produced until late Friday night was generated from a mix of sources, but mainly gas fired and nuclear powered generating stations. Wind, biomass, and imported energy were also used on Friday, Xinhua news agency reported.

 

National Grid's Cordi O'Hara said: "To have the first working day without coal since the start of the industrial revolution is a watershed moment in how our energy system is changing.

"Britain benefits from highly diverse and flexible sources of electricity. Our energy mix continues to change and National Grid adapts system operation to embrace these changes."

 

The 24-hour cycle started Thursday when a coal fires power plant at West Burton went offline.

 

"The 24 hour cycle was confirmed at 22.50 hours on Friday, after which we started to use coal-fired generation again. We can't (tell) when this new record will be broken," O'Hara said.

 

Earlier this week, a new record was set on Thursday, when Britain went for 19 hours without using any coal-fired generation of electricity.

 

Britain's first public coal fire power plant opened in London in 1882 and since then coal has played a daily part in generating the country's electricity.

 

The British government aims to phase out Britain's last coal-fired power stations by 2025 in its program to cut carbon emissions.

 

In 2015 almost a quarter of Britain's electricity was supplied from coal-fire plants, but in 2016 this had dropped to just under 10 percent as more of the older coal fired stations closed.

 

http://www.firstpost.com/world/britain-goes-24-hours-without-using-any-coal-generated-power-3399776.html

 

Adani, Tata Steel line up for coal mining, but foreigners not keen

Major Indian corporate houses like Adani, GMR, Tata Steel, Dalmia Bharat and CESC, among others have shown interest in government's effort to open up commercial coal mining.

 

Interest of foreign miners however, is absent despite the fact that the initiative of the government was targeted at getting foreign expertise and capital in the mining.

 

In a meeting to discuss regulations about opening up coal mining to private and foreign players, representatives of industrial houses like GMR, Hindalco, Adani Enterprises, NMDC, CESC, BGR Mining, Tata Steel, Lanco Infratech, Monnet Ispat, Essel Mining, Dalmia Bharat Cement, JSW Energy have attended the meet to give suggestions on the regulations to be applied to auction of blocks meant for commercial mining.

 

Other Indian entities were Dilip Buildcon, Rungta Mines, Sainik Mining, VPR Mining, Triveni Earthmovers, Rashmi Group, Montecarlo Ltd, and few others.

 

However, the foreign miners did not attend the meet. This could be due to the glut in global coal prices, and specifically, some very restrictive clauses in the regulations, sources said.

 

While private miners would be technically free to decide on the prices of the coal they mine, several experts are apprehensive about an indirect way to protect Coal India, by linking a revenue sharing model with the prices which has to be higher than what the country's dominant state-owned miner charges for its output, DNA Money had earlier reported after the draft rules came out.

 

That issue was discussed extensively in the meeting held recently between the private mines and the government, record of the meeting shows.

 

"Some of the participants observed that linking the revenue share at 1.2 times, the Coal India (CIL)- notified price may not be a desirable proposition. It was stated that CIL price is already on the higher side, and linking the revenue share to CIL price may result in increasing the sale price of coal by the commercial miner, whereas the objective under commercial coal mining should be to make coal available at cheaper prices. It was stated that for auction of other mineral blocks, revenue share is estimated at IBM-notified price itself and no margin is being charged over IBM notified price," minutes of the meeting says.

 

Forcing private miners to sell coal at 1.2 times, CIL prices would negate the benefit these mines can derive from the efficient and cost-effective mining techniques which could reduce prices, experts had said.

 

Meanwhile, the government has started working on the fifth tranche of auction of mines for specific usage.

 

This time, just seven mines namely Choritand Tiliaya, Rohne, Urtan North, Jogeshwar, Khas Jogeshwar, Rabodih and Brahmadiha, would be electronically auctioned beginning June 13.

 

DIGGING DEEPER

Interest of foreign miners is absent despite government’s focus on getting foreign expertise

GMR, Hindalco, Adani Enterprises, NMDC, among others attended the meeting

http://www.dnaindia.com/money/report-adani-tata-steel-line-up-for-coal-mining-but-foreigners-not-keen-2413397

 

 

Coal India allows power companies to swap supplies

State-run power generating companies will now have the flexibility to swap their coal supplies and divert them to more efficient power plants.

 

Coal India last week signed agreements for aggregation of contracted quantity of coal with state and central power generating companies for flexible movement of coal that would help reduce the cost of power generation, a senior company official said.

 

The move will allow all coal linkages given to plants of state and central utilities like NTPC to be combined

Read more at:

http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/58306480.cms?utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst

Power sector to fuel Coal India's e-auction price

Coal India’s (CIL) average net sales realisation from e-auctions is likely to increase by 10 per cent to about Rs 1,650 a tonne in the near term on account of a global surge in coal prices and a revival in projected demand for the fossil fuel in the country, especially from the power sector, analysts say.

 

According to a report by brokerage firm Motilal Oswal, which sourced the data from the exchanges, e-auction prices had been falling continuously since 2015-16 and remained that way till the first half of 2016-17. This pulled down the average price realisation by 3.8 per cent during 2015-16 and nominally by one per cent in the last financial year.

 

“However, e-auction prices have started inching up due to higher international coal prices,” a sector expert said. “A rise in the average e-auction price realisation indicates a near similar rise in the selling price of auctioned coal,” the expert added.

 

 

Motilal Oswal expects a 2.8 per cent increase in the average net sales realisation on account of the higher e-auction prices, even if the company doesn’t increase coal prices in the current financial year. Although the total energy demand, excluding captive power plants, has increased by 5.8 per cent to 1,236 billion kwh, conventional generation, which majorly comprises thermal power, increased by 4.7 per cent to 1,154 billion kwh due to displacement from the renewable energy sector.

 

An analyst with Motilal Oswal said coal continued to be the main driver of conventional power generation with 86 per cent share. Coal-based generation, inclusive of lignite, increased by 5.4 per cent to 945 billion kwh. However, the demand for coal by the end of 2020 may be less by 52 million tonne (mt) than the projected demand of 970 mt. “However, apparent coal demand will still increase at a CAGR (compound annual growth rate) of 5.4 per cent over the 2017-2020 time period, compared to a flat demand over the last two years,” the analyst said.

 

During the fourth quarter of the last financial year, it is estimated that Coal India has sold 33 mt of coal in the e-auctions at an average price of Rs 1,719 a tonne, which is 10 per cent higher than the auction price in the October-December quarter.

 

It is estimated that in 2016-17, 97 mt of coal went under the hammer in e-auctions, which is 47 per cent higher than what was offered in 2015-16.

 

A senior company official said the coal behemoth is now targeting to put on block at least 235 mt of coal in the coming three years to increase revenue.

Furthermore, with the global coal prices touching $74, the official expects private power producers to buy more coal from the e-auctions. To encourage the private players lift more indigenous coal, Coal India is also offering discounts to the tune of 35 per cent for lower grades and 20 per cent for mid-grades to the power plants.

 

Debasish Mishra, partner at Deloitte Touché Tohmatsu India, said lack of clarity on coal linkage policy was a factor behind increasing interest in e-auctions.

 

“Government is yet to come out with a policy on auction of coal linkage for IPPs (independent power providers). IPPs with power purchase agreement (PPA) with a fuel supply agreement, IPPs without PPA selling in spot power market and captive plants are buying coal in e-auction,” Mishra said, adding that for power plants located away from the coast, it still makes sense to buy coal from e-auction, rather than import.

http://www.business-standard.com/article/markets/power-sector-to-fuel-coal-india-s-e-auction-price-117042100008_1.html

 

Corus acquisition was an aspirational mistake: Ex-Tata Steel MD J J Irani

Acquisition of London-headquartered Corus by Tata Steel was a mistake and slicing off the take-over at the moment was a good job, former MD of the company J J Irani said on Friday.

 

"Acquisition of Corus was a mistake. Not an intentional one but an aspirational mistake," Irani told at an interaction on management organised by Calcutta Chamber of Commerce here today.

 

Irani, who held the position of the MD of Tata Steel for nearly a decade, said that the Indian company emerged as a 'white knight' while acquiring Corus in 2007 when the global steel market was good.

 

 

But with the subsequent slump in steel demand, Corus (later renamed as Tata Steel Europe), the acquisition turned bad and it had lived off Tata Steel's Indian operations, Irani said.

 

Irani, however, said that experience of Tata Motors was different in case of JLR, which was acquired by it, was doing extremely well and was supporting the Indian firm now.

 

"JLR is holding up the Indian company. The scenario is different for Tata Steel", Irani said.

 

Irani said while he was the MD, the Tata Steel management had very cordial ties with the union in Jamshedpur for which the 78,000 strong workforce could be gradually reduced to 40,000.

 

"That decision to shed flab at that time has helped Tata Steel now to be one of the most profitable and efficient steel companies in India", Irani said.

 

Saying that the single most important factor is credibility of the management which meant that people knew that "what you are saying will be done".

 

"Of course in the last few months, that thing has become blurred and it will come bank to normal once again", he said.

 

Irani, who described JRD Tata as his icon and professional father, said in the earlier days, when Tata's holding in Tata Sons was just three per cent and G D Birla with five per cent, things were amicably passed in the EGMs of various companies.

 

But with the Tata's holding in Tata Sons much more now, questions were being asked in some of the group companies, he said.

 

Regarding the spat between Ratan Tata and Cyrus Mistry, he said that the former had never interfered with the board decisions, a thing which was now being noticed in the case of Infosys.

 

In Mistry's case, the Tata Sons board lost confidence in Mistry for which he was removed. "But the Tata image has taken a hit as things were blown out of proportions in the media".

 

Regarding Infosys, Irani said that the founding fathers like N R Narayanamurthy should let the present management to function on its own.

 

"Interference, in my opinion, is not desirable", he said.

http://www.business-standard.com/article/companies/corus-acquisition-was-an-aspirational-mistake-ex-tata-steel-md-j-j-irani-117042101162_1.html

 

Inorganic growth of any reasonable size looks unlikely, says JSW Steel’s Seshagiri Rao

Steel demand has grown at an anaemic 3.5 percent in FY17, but with the government focusing on infrastructure spend, steel demand could inch up to 4.5 percent in FY18. While JSW Steel is looking at increasing its capacity to 40 MT over the next decade, the company’s Joint MD and Group CFO, Seshagiri Rao tells Moneycontrol that he doesn’t expect inorganic growth to contribute to its expansion plans.

How do you intend to become a 40 MT steel-maker and by when do you plan to achieve this?

If you see the Draft National Steel Policy then you will see total steel capacity is expected to be 300 MT by 2030. India’s current installed steel capacity is 128 MT and we are 18 MT (approximately 15 percent of India’s installed capacity). To maintain our marketshare we need to have 45 MT capacity seeing the demand growth in India.

If you look at our plan, we have environmental clearances to increase the capacity of our Vijaynagar plant from 12 MT to 16 MT. At Dolvi, we have approval to double capacity to 10 MT. This means we have the approval to increase from 18 MT to 27 MT. Capacity expansion is in place at a very good investment cost per tonne. The 27 MT to 40 MT capacity expansion could be inorganic growth or through green field projects in Jharkhand or Odisha.

Do you see inorganic growth?

We do not see inorganic growth of any reasonable size happening in India.

What is the expected growth for steel demand in FY18?

Demand growth in FY17 was 3.5 percent and we expect demand growth to expand 1.2-1.3 times of GDP growth if investments pick up. This will take steel demand growth to 9-10 percent

http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/companies/inorganic-growth-of-any-reasonable-size-looks-unlikely-says-jsw-steels-seshagiri-rao-2262925.html

 

“Captive Iron Ore Mines Must for Steel Industry”; JSPL Pitches at ‘India Steel – 2017’ Conference

Steel Industry should get priority and ‘must be integrated with captive iron ore mining for sustainable growth’, said Mr. Manish Kharbanda, Executive Director & Head of Mines & Minerals, Jindal Steel & Power Ltd, while speaking in ‘India Steel 2017’ Conference today (April 20, 2017) at Mumbai. In his address on ‘Interplay of Demand & Supply of Raw Materials in Steel Industry’, he stressed on preferential treatment to Steel Industry in mining auction.

Speaking on Interplay of Demand & Supply of raw materials in Steel Industry, “Auction of Iron ore blocks for merchant mining should be done after the steel plants are equipped with captive mines”, he added. In auction, most Iron & Steel plants cannot compete with merchant miners on account of their heavy debt, worsened by low demand & price in the past years.

The State Governments need to conduct faster auction and make sufficient numbers of mineral block available to steel sector based at the respective states to build competitive strength of manufacturing sector. In order to promote scientific mining, larger blocks of mining should be allocated.

Speaking on pricing of Iron ore, Mr. Kharbanda said that since more than 75% of the Steel plants do not have captive mines and are dependent on merchant miners, the Government should take step to make Iron Ore available at competitive price. The royalty rate of Iron ore is one of the highest in the World and should be reduced. The Government should take steps to ensure iron ore prices to be as competitive as possible for steel companies. “A price band may be set within which iron prices would be allowed to fluctuate or a cost plus formula may be adopted such that all iron­ ore miners would have to adopt in setting their market selling price,” he said.

‘India Steel 2017’ is being organised by the Ministry of Steel, Government of India and Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI) to provide a platform to stakeholders and key decision maker from the Steel and other related industry to interact with and explore new business avenues.

https://orissadiary.com/captive-iron-ore-mines-must-steel-industry-jspl-pitches-india-steel-2017-conference/

BHP Billiton plans $204M expansion of coal mine

 

MELBOURNE, Australia--BHP Billiton Ltd. (BHP.AU) is planning a US$204 million expansion of its coking-coal operations in eastern Australia to increase production of the steelmaking ingredient and reduce overall operating costs.

 

BHP and venture partner Mitsubishi Corp. (8058.TO) on Friday approved the investment in their Caval Ridge mine, where they plan to build a 6.8-mile overland conveyer system to transport coal from the neighboring Peak Downs mine to a preparation plant.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/bhp-billiton-plans-204m-expansion-of-coal-mine-2017-04-20

RPT-Japan steelmakers scramble for coking coal to make up Debbie losses

Japanese steelmakers have bought coking coal from the United States, Canada and China to replace supply lost after a cyclone closed rail links in Australia, their biggest supplier, industry and trader sources said.

 

Still, the Japanese buyers are paying nearly double the $150 a tonnes price that they were discussing with sellers for second-quarter supply before the supply disruption. The supply talks are now on hold and prices will likely stay high until full volumes start flowing again.

 

In 2016, Japan bought about 71 percent of the 59.9 million tonnes of coking coal it consumed from Australia.

 

"We've tapped supplies by bringing forward shipping schedules of cargos from Canada and the United States, and buying some extra coal from China," an official at a major Japanese steelmaker who deals with raw material procurement told Reuters.

 

The emergency supplies were purchased at about $300 a tonne, said the official and a second source a major producer.

 

Premium coking coal prices from the east coast of Australia were quoted at $289.50 a tonne on Thursday, down from $314 a week earlier, but still more than 90 percent above levels four weeks ago, according to Platts TSI.

http://www.reuters.com/article/japan-steel-shortage-idUSL3N1HT3O1

Coking coal price correction turns into crash

The price of coking coal plunged again on Friday with the industry benchmark price tracked by the Steel Index dropping 9% or $26.10 to $263.40 a tonne as supply disruption following tropical storms in Australia begin to ease.

 

Last week the price of Australia free-on-board premium hard coking coal jumped to highest since the second quarter of 2011. That price spike was also the result of flooding in Queensland that saw quarterly contract prices negotiated at an all time high of $330.

http://www.mining.com/coking-coal-price-correction-turns-crash/

 

Regards

Anurag Singal

 

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